Part 1
Why does the second stall open right next to the first?
Walking to the LRT, you pass a stall selling nasi lemak at the bottom of the stairs. It is a good pitch, because everyone coming down has to pass it. Six weeks later there is a second stall beside it, with the same nasi lemak at the same price. By Raya there are four in a row, with an air sirap seller on the end.
You have probably explained this to someone. You said it was ikut-ikutan, which is Malay for following along. One person sees a friend making money and does the same, without a plan of his own. It is a remark you hear about Malay traders in particular, though the same row of near-identical shops runs down Petaling Street, along the phone floor at Low Yat, and past many a strip of bank branches on a high street.
It is a tidy answer. We want to spend a few posts taking it apart, because we think it runs backwards. The trader by the stairs has almost nothing to work with: a little saved capital, no data, one shot at choosing a spot. Look closely at the decision and it holds up at every step.
By the end of this series, the second stall should look like the smartest move the second trader had available.
About this part
The stall scene is an illustration, not data, and this part cites no figures. Sources are listed in the parts that use figures or research.